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2015年经济学人 太空 下一个创业前沿

时间:2019-12-09 03:26来源:互联网 提供网友:nan   字体: [ ]
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Leaders Satellites Space: the next startup frontier

Where nanosats boldly go, new businesses will follow—unless they are smothered1 with excessive regulations

AROUND 1,000 operational satellites are circling the Earth, some of them the size and weight of a large car.

In the past year they have been joined by junior offspring: 100 or so small satellites, some of them made up of one or more 10cm (4-inch) cubes.

They may be tiny, but each is vastly more capable than Sputnik, the first man-made satellite launched by Russia in 1957. And many more are coming.

Space hardware used to cost so much that it was available only to generals, multinationals2 and the most privileged scientists.

No more. Many of these nanosats, as small satellites weighing no more than a few kilograms are called, have been launched for small companies,

startups and university departments, sometimes with finance raised on crowdfunding websites.

Their construction costs can be down in the tens of thousands of dollars, which makes them thousands of times cheaper than today's big satellites.

Admittedly, there is much they cannot do, but with that sort of price differential, and some ingenious use of the abilities they do have,

they could be surprisingly competitive players on a number of fronts. In the next five years another 1,000 nanosats are expected to be launched.

Two trends are setting up nanosats for further success. Like people working on everything from robots to 3D printers,

nanosat builders are harvesting the benefits of ever better, ever cheaper components3 built for smartphones and other consumer electronics.

Some nanosats even contain complete smartphones, making use of the clever operating systems, radios and cameras which phones now contain.

For as long as phones go on getting cheaper and more capable, so will nanosats. The cheapest so far—a tiny chipsat—was assembled for just $25,

though it has yet to be successfully launched.

The launch systems too are getting much cheaper. SpaceX, the innovative4 rocket-maker founded by Elon Musk5,

has already brought down the costs of getting into space; it and its competitors could reduce them a lot further.

The biggest beneficiaries will at first be people who make big satellites.

But more big satellites will mean more opportunities for small satellites to piggy-back on their launches.

And some companies are looking at cheap little launch systems tailored specifically to the needs of the nanosatellite.

One reason space engineers are notoriously conservative is that the costs of failure are high.

As making and launching satellites gets cheaper, it will be ever easier for innovative, risk-taking nanosat-makers to orbit around the lumbering6 incumbents7.

Size does impose limits. Nanosats cannot peer as closely at the Earth or carry out as many experiments as big satellites.

But for some jobs that does not matter. The plans that companies already have include using nanosats for monitoring crops,

studying the sun and tracking ships and aircraft. Such a system might have been able to track Malaysian Airlines flight MH370, which went missing in March.

Nano can do

Yet not everyone is thrilled. One worry is that constellations8 of nanosats will mean a big increase in space junk;

but, operating in low-Earth orbit, they burn up on re-entry after a year or so. And being cheap, they can soon be replaced with newer models.

A more serious concern is that they are a “dual-use” technology: they could be used for military purposes. In America this has led to onerous9 restrictions10.

Barack Obama's administration has sensibly repealed11 a law of 1999 that required all satellites to be licensed12 by the State Department as munitions13 under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR).

This could mean that most commercial satellites will be removed from ITAR by the end of the year and their export administered by the Commerce Department.

But some satellite systems and spacecraft—including anything that can carry people into space—will remain under ITAR.

Care needs to be taken with military kit14, but America's regulations still seem excessive.

A regular review to distinguish between systems that pose a real threat and ones that don't would be a help, as would better intelligence.

Tight restrictions on new technologies will not work, and will damage America's interests:

exciting new ventures like nanosats will simply move to countries from which they can be launched with greater ease.


点击收听单词发音收听单词发音  

1 smothered b9bebf478c8f7045d977e80734a8ed1d     
(使)窒息, (使)透不过气( smother的过去式和过去分词 ); 覆盖; 忍住; 抑制
参考例句:
  • He smothered the baby with a pillow. 他用枕头把婴儿闷死了。
  • The fire is smothered by ashes. 火被灰闷熄了。
2 multinationals 62535937a7268e716f9c1a6586b6cc78     
跨国公司( multinational的名词复数 )
参考例句:
  • These local companies are only small fry compared with the huge multinationals. 同那些跨国公司比,这些当地的公司不过是小鱼小虾。
  • Some people believe that the multinationals have too much power. 有人认为跨国公司的权力太大了。
3 components 4725dcf446a342f1473a8228e42dfa48     
(机器、设备等的)构成要素,零件,成分; 成分( component的名词复数 ); [物理化学]组分; [数学]分量; (混合物的)组成部分
参考例句:
  • the components of a machine 机器部件
  • Our chemistry teacher often reduces a compound to its components in lab. 在实验室中化学老师常把化合物分解为各种成分。
4 innovative D6Vxq     
adj.革新的,新颖的,富有革新精神的
参考例句:
  • Discover an innovative way of marketing.发现一个创新的营销方式。
  • He was one of the most creative and innovative engineers of his generation.他是他那代人当中最富创造性与革新精神的工程师之一。
5 musk v6pzO     
n.麝香, 能发出麝香的各种各样的植物,香猫
参考例句:
  • Musk is used for perfume and stimulant.麝香可以用作香料和兴奋剂。
  • She scented her clothes with musk.她用麝香使衣服充满了香味。
6 lumbering FA7xm     
n.采伐林木
参考例句:
  • Lumbering and, later, paper-making were carried out in smaller cities. 木材业和后来的造纸都由较小的城市经营。
  • Lumbering is very important in some underdeveloped countries. 在一些不发达的国家,伐木业十分重要。
7 incumbents 5672a9e1733f38c0bc40038b0d0b437b     
教区牧师( incumbent的名词复数 ); 教会中的任职者
参考例句:
  • In general, incumbents have a 94 percent chance of being reelected. 通常现任官员有94%的几率会再次当选。
  • This arangement yields a wonderful gain to incumbents. 这种安排为在职人员提供了意外的得益。
8 constellations ee34f7988ee4aa80f9502f825177c85d     
n.星座( constellation的名词复数 );一群杰出人物;一系列(相关的想法、事物);一群(相关的人)
参考例句:
  • The map of the heavens showed all the northern constellations. 这份天体图标明了北半部所有的星座。 来自《简明英汉词典》
  • His time was coming, he would move in the constellations of power. 他时来运转,要进入权力中心了。 来自教父部分
9 onerous 6vCy4     
adj.繁重的
参考例句:
  • My household duties were not particularly onerous.我的家务活并不繁重。
  • This obligation sometimes proves onerous.这一义务有时被证明是艰巨的。
10 restrictions 81e12dac658cfd4c590486dd6f7523cf     
约束( restriction的名词复数 ); 管制; 制约因素; 带限制性的条件(或规则)
参考例句:
  • I found the restrictions irksome. 我对那些限制感到很烦。
  • a snaggle of restrictions 杂乱无章的种种限制
11 repealed 3d9f89fff28ae1cbe7bc44768bc7f02d     
撤销,废除( repeal的过去式和过去分词 )
参考例句:
  • The Labour Party repealed the Act. 工党废除了那项法令。
  • The legislature repealed the unpopular Rent Act. 立法机关废除了不得人心的租借法案。
12 licensed ipMzNI     
adj.得到许可的v.许可,颁发执照(license的过去式和过去分词)
参考例句:
  • The new drug has not yet been licensed in the US. 这种新药尚未在美国获得许可。
  • Is that gun licensed? 那支枪有持枪执照吗?
13 munitions FnZzbl     
n.军火,弹药;v.供应…军需品
参考例句:
  • The army used precision-guided munitions to blow up enemy targets.军队用精确瞄准的枪炮炸掉敌方目标。
  • He rose [made a career for himself] by dealing in munitions.他是靠贩卖军火发迹的。
14 kit D2Rxp     
n.用具包,成套工具;随身携带物
参考例句:
  • The kit consisted of about twenty cosmetic items.整套工具包括大约20种化妆用品。
  • The captain wants to inspect your kit.船长想检查你的行装。
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