美国有线新闻 CNN 2012-10-13

 We will begin tonight Keeping Them Honest on campaigns that love the polls but only when the polls are going their way. Right now, that would be the Romney campaign. New polling in battleground states tonight, the latest CNN/ORC survey in Ohio done entirely¹ after the first debate, now showing a four-point Obama lead. That’s a statistical² tie. It is a significant change from the seven to ten point lead the president enjoyed before the debate. New polling as well from Sienna College that shows a statistical tie in Pennsylvania, that’s based on surveys done both before and after the debate. And nationally in Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll, which covers October 2nd through the 8th, Mitt³ Romney now holds a two point edge. 

 

Today, Gallup shifted from registered to likely voters, which tends to favor Republicans. That said though, it is hard to find any evidence, any evidence that President Obama escaped Denver without at least some damage. The only question being how severe and how long lasting⁴. That seems hard to dispute just as it’s hard to dispute that prior to the debate, Mr. Romney was getting hammered in the polls. Keeping Them Honest, though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that’s what campaigns do on both sides. 

 

It’s not, in the end, it’s not going to be about the polls. I wouldn’t put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple of days anyway. 

 

Well, you know, in terms of Mitt Romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit⁵ he had to make up. I mean he was in some cases double digits⁶ behind the president in all those attributes. And the president is still leading on them. 

Pull back the reins⁷ a little bit, the media focusing on one poll because they really want this narrative⁸ to change. 

 

Well, that’s reaction to the recent batch⁹ of post-debate polling, including that devastating¹⁰ Pew Poll that showed a four point Romney lead. Now consider that Pew took an earlier poll in September a couple of weeks before the debate, it was the Republicans going ballistic when it showed Romney eight points down. Watch. 

These polls are basically just part and parcel of the campaign for Barack Obama to help him stay in this game as long as possible. If you believe what the polls are saying right now, you’ve got believe that there is something huge going on. 

 

I’ve said that all along, and I’m willing to say that publicly and stick by and I know that poll up 15 points is absolutely invalid¹¹. 

 

People need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it’s ever been. 

 

That’s not a legitimate¹² poll in 2012.

 

Ari said both polls were skewed when we had him on the program the last couple of days. You heard Bay Buchanan allude¹³ to it in the beginning of that clip. Some pundits¹⁴ on the right have been complaining that the major polling operation systematically¹⁵ favor President Obama. A guy named Dean Chambers¹⁶ even set up a Website, take a look. It’s called unskewedpolls.com and it purports¹⁷ to reveal and correct the bias¹⁸ he sees in political polling. So, now that the polls seem to be swinging in Mitt Romney’s favor, could it be because he did well in debate? Actually, no, instead, the unskewedpolls the guy from the unskewedpolls credits the change to well, actually to himself, he writes, quote, “I suggested last week that the pollsters will become more concerned about their credibility and would straighten up and fly right, so to speak, they have.”

 

It sounds like everyone on all sides of the aisle¹⁹ needs to take a deep breath, get a little perspective. Cornell Belcher, as you heard from a moment ago, suggests we all wait awhile for the numbers to settle. Ari Fleischer last night told me he take the latest good and bad news for his side with a grain of salt.

1 entirely   

ad.全部地，完整地；完全地，彻底地

参考例句：

• The fire was entirely caused by their neglect of duty. 那场火灾完全是由于他们失职而引起的。
• His life was entirely given up to the educational work. 他的一生统统献给了教育工作。

2 statistical   

adj.统计的，统计学的

参考例句：

• He showed the price fluctuations in a statistical table.他用统计表显示价格的波动。
• They're making detailed statistical analysis.他们正在做具体的统计分析。

3 mitt   

n.棒球手套，拳击手套，无指手套；vt.铐住，握手

参考例句：

• I gave him a baseball mitt for his birthday.为祝贺他的生日，我送给他一只棒球手套。
• Tom squeezed a mitt and a glove into the bag.汤姆把棒球手套和手套都塞进袋子里。

4 lasting   

adj.永久的，永恒的；vbl.持续，维持

参考例句：

• The lasting war debased the value of the dollar.持久的战争使美元贬值。
• We hope for a lasting settlement of all these troubles.我们希望这些纠纷能获得永久的解决。

5 deficit   

n.亏空，亏损；赤字，逆差

参考例句：

• The directors have reported a deficit of 2.5 million dollars.董事们报告赤字为250万美元。
• We have a great deficit this year.我们今年有很大亏损。

6 digits   

n.数字( digit的名词复数 )；手指，足趾

参考例句：

• The number 1000 contains four digits. 1000是四位数。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• The number 410 contains three digits. 数字 410 中包括三个数目字。 来自《现代英汉综合大词典》

7 reins   

感情，激情； 缰( rein的名词复数 )； 控制手段； 掌管； （成人带着幼儿走路以防其走失时用的）保护带

参考例句：

• She pulled gently on the reins. 她轻轻地拉着缰绳。
• The government has imposed strict reins on the import of luxury goods. 政府对奢侈品的进口有严格的控制手段。

8 narrative   

n.叙述，故事；adj.叙事的，故事体的

参考例句：

• He was a writer of great narrative power.他是一位颇有记述能力的作家。
• Neither author was very strong on narrative.两个作者都不是很善于讲故事。

9 batch   

n.一批(组，群)；一批生产量

参考例句：

• The first batch of cakes was burnt.第一炉蛋糕烤焦了。
• I have a batch of letters to answer.我有一批信要回复。

10 devastating   

adj.毁灭性的，令人震惊的，强有力的

参考例句：

• It is the most devastating storm in 20 years.这是20年来破坏性最大的风暴。
• Affairs do have a devastating effect on marriages.婚外情确实会对婚姻造成毁灭性的影响。

11 invalid   

n.病人，伤残人；adj.有病的，伤残的；无效的

参考例句：

• He will visit an invalid.他将要去看望一个病人。
• A passport that is out of date is invalid.护照过期是无效的。

12 legitimate   

adj.合法的，合理的，合乎逻辑的；v.使合法

参考例句：

• Sickness is a legitimate reason for asking for leave.生病是请假的一个正当的理由。
• That's a perfectly legitimate fear.怀有这种恐惧完全在情理之中。

13 allude   

v.提及，暗指

参考例句：

• Many passages in Scripture allude to this concept.圣经中有许多经文间接地提到这样的概念。
• She also alluded to her rival's past marital troubles.她还影射了对手过去的婚姻问题。

14 pundits   

n.某一学科的权威，专家( pundit的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• The pundits disagree on the best way of dealing with the problem. 如何妥善处理这一问题，专家众说纷纭。 来自辞典例句
• That did not stop Chinese pundits from making a fuss over it. 这并没有阻止中国的博学之士对此大惊小怪。 来自互联网

15 systematically   

adv.有系统地

参考例句：

• This government has systematically run down public services since it took office.这一屆政府自上台以来系统地削减了公共服务。
• The rainforest is being systematically destroyed.雨林正被系统地毀灭。

16 chambers   

n.房间( chamber的名词复数 )；（议会的）议院；卧室；会议厅

参考例句：

• The body will be removed into one of the cold storage chambers. 尸体将被移到一个冷冻间里。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• Mr Chambers's readable book concentrates on the middle passage: the time Ransome spent in Russia. Chambers先生的这本值得一看的书重点在中间：Ransome在俄国的那几年。 来自互联网

17 purports   

v.声称是…，（装得）像是…的样子( purport的第三人称单数 )

参考例句：

• She purports to represent the whole group. 她自称代表整个团体。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• The document purports to be official but is really private. 那份文件据称是官方的，但实际上是私人的。 来自辞典例句

18 bias   

n.偏见，偏心，偏袒；vt.使有偏见

参考例句：

• They are accusing the teacher of political bias in his marking.他们在指控那名教师打分数有政治偏见。
• He had a bias toward the plan.他对这项计划有偏见。

19 aisle   

n.（教堂、教室、戏院等里的）过道，通道

参考例句：

• The aisle was crammed with people.过道上挤满了人。
• The girl ushered me along the aisle to my seat.引座小姐带领我沿着通道到我的座位上去。