万花筒 2012-02-17&02-19 国际能源署调低2012原油需求增长预测

 The International Energy Agency has cut 300,000 barrels a day from its estimate of global oil demand, blaming a slowing world economy. Well, I'm joined now from Paris by the IEA's David Fyfe. 

 

--David, where do you see Brent and WTI being in six months time and you don't? 

 

--Eh, we don't forecast where prices will go. We are trying set out a, the sort of shape of market fundamental for the next year. Our underlying¹ view is that the market in 2012 looks reasonably well supplied. We think there is nothing incremental² supply from non-OPEC and growth in OPEC capacity to keep demand grow of 0.8 million barrels per day provided. Of course, there's a lot of uncertainties³ about there surrounding what's happening in Iran and some altitude and places like Sudan. But in general terms, we think the market looks pretty well supplied for 2012. 

 

--I'll come to supply in our second. But I'd want to go back to demand. Is the balance of risks to your demand forecast still tilted⁴ to the down side? 

 

--I think, with the latest set of modifications⁵ we've made, both in terms of the economic growth and the demand forecast itself where we, I'm pretty happy with that sort of level of

 

about 0.8 million barrels per day of growth. And that's twinned with economic growth of right 3.3 percent for 2012. Of course there are downsize risks, if the euro zone crisis worsens. On the other hand, Japan is burning a lot more oil because of the nuclear crisis there. So we see the risks really balanced on the demand side I think. 

 

--Okay, and on supply, you say any supply disruption from Iran will be offset⁶ by more output from Saudi Arabia, Libya and other countries in the Gulf⁷. How realistic is that assumption? 

 

--We are not in any sense of a complacence about what might happen in the region around the Gulf and concerning sanctions on Iran. All we pointing out is that there is about 800,000 barrels per day of growth in OPEC capacity this year, from Angola, from Libya, from Iraq. We are gonna watch the situation very closely in the coming months. But at the moment, we don't think there's undue⁸ cause for concern.

 

--Okay, my thanks there to David Fyfe from the IEA in Paris. I'm Jamie McGeever. This is Reuters.

1 underlying   

adj.在下面的，含蓄的，潜在的

参考例句：

• The underlying theme of the novel is very serious.小说隐含的主题是十分严肃的。
• This word has its underlying meaning.这个单词有它潜在的含义。

2 incremental   

adj.增加的

参考例句：

• For logic devices, the incremental current gain is very important. 对于逻辑器件来说，提高电流增益是非常重要的。 来自辞典例句
• By using an incremental approach, the problems involving material or geometric nonlinearity have been solved. 借应用一种增量方法，已经解决了包括材料的或几何的非线性问题。 来自辞典例句

3 uncertainties   

无把握( uncertainty的名词复数 )； 不确定； 变化不定； 无把握、不确定的事物

参考例句：

• One of the uncertainties of military duty is that you never know when you might suddenly get posted away. 任军职不稳定的因素之一是你永远不知道什么时候会突然被派往它处。
• Uncertainties affecting peace and development are on the rise. 影响和平与发展的不确定因素在增加。 来自汉英非文学 - 十六大报告

4 tilted   

v. 倾斜的

参考例句：

• Suddenly the boat tilted to one side. 小船突然倾向一侧。
• She tilted her chin at him defiantly. 她向他翘起下巴表示挑衅。

5 modifications   

n.缓和( modification的名词复数 )；限制；更改；改变

参考例句：

• The engine was pulled apart for modifications and then reassembled. 发动机被拆开改型，然后再组装起来。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• The original plan had undergone fairly extensive modifications. 原计划已经作了相当大的修改。 来自《简明英汉词典》

6 offset   

n.分支，补偿；v.抵消，补偿

参考例句：

• Their wage increases would be offset by higher prices.他们增加的工资会被物价上涨所抵消。
• He put up his prices to offset the increased cost of materials.他提高了售价以补偿材料成本的增加。

7 gulf   

n.海湾；深渊，鸿沟；分歧，隔阂

参考例句：

• The gulf between the two leaders cannot be bridged.两位领导人之间的鸿沟难以跨越。
• There is a gulf between the two cities.这两座城市间有个海湾。

8 undue   

adj.过分的；不适当的；未到期的

参考例句：

• Don't treat the matter with undue haste.不要过急地处理此事。
• It would be wise not to give undue importance to his criticisms.最好不要过分看重他的批评。