VOA常速英语2007年-Analysts: Army Support Critical to Sustaining M

By Gary Thomas
Washington
09 November 2007

At the heart of the current political crisis enveloping¹ Pakistan is Pervez Musharraf's insistence² on holding on to his military rank as chief of the army while remaining president. The military has been the key power broker³ throughout Pakistan's 60 year history.  As VOA correspondent Gary Thomas reports, General Musharraf needs its support to sustain his rule, and to take the controversial step of declaring a state of emergency.

When General Musharraf declared a state of emergency, he cited an increase in terrorist attacks and alleged⁴ judicial⁵ interference in anti-terrorist efforts as reasons for the move. 

But as Larry Goodson, a professor at the U.S. Army War College, points out, opposition⁶ activists⁷ and supporters of ousted⁸ Supreme⁹ Court Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry were rounded up instead of pro-Taliban militants¹⁰. 

"It's hard for me to know just how much of that is inflated¹¹ for the folks in Washington, because it seems to me that the state of emergency [imposed], because of the ostensibly evil terrorists, has actually been used to hammer the democracy demonstrators and lawyers supporting Chaudhry and all that rather than to hammer the extremists up along the border," he noted¹².

Pakistan's 60-year history is full of swings back and forth¹³ between civilian¹⁴ government and military rule.  But even when not in direct control, the military has always been a power broker.   During the 1990s, it backed the president in firing the governments of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif.  General Musharraf mounted a direct coup¹⁵ against Sharif in 1999 and has been in power ever since.

Former CIA officer Michael Scheuer, who served in Pakistan, says the military harbors a deep distrust of the country's civilian political elite¹⁶.

"The military is of course now involved in [fighting] insurgencies it wasn't trained for," he said.  "It's now involved to some extent in this state of emergency.  And, I think they put up with Musharraf and support Musharraf, because the tradition of civilian rule in Pakistan is one of just blatant¹⁷ thievery.  Sooner or later, the military has to intervene to prevent the country from going bankrupt.  So, I don't think the generals particularly have any great love for Musharraf, but he may be the best bet in town at the moment."

General Musharraf is reluctant to give up his military job while president, analysts¹⁹ say, for fear he would lose the military's loyalty²⁰.  But it is not clear, they add, how strong his support is among the key senior officers.
  
In recent months, the Bush Administration has been urging General Musharraf to crack down on the pro-Taliban and al-Qaida elements attacking U.S. and coalition²¹ forces across the border in Afghanistan from safe havens²² in the rough and wild tribal²³ areas along the border.

Christine Fair, a Washington-based analyst¹⁸ of Pakistan affairs, says the Pakistani military has been unhappy about General Musharraf's bending to U.S. wishes for aggressive counter-terrorism operations against Pakistanis on its own soil.  What is puzzling, she says, is why the army would back a state of emergency that might drag it further into a domestic enforcement role.

"Knowing what we think we know about the army's support for him and these kinds of decisions, and given the army's already deep and pervasive²⁴ and dangerous ambivalence²⁵ about these counterterrorism [operations], the relevance²⁶ of Pakistan engaging in these kinds of operations against its own people, why then would he put them headlong into a situation where, increasingly, if its gets nasty, they're going to be involved? None of this makes sense to me."

Some analysts believe the government will revert²⁷ back to negotiating treaties with pro-Taliban tribes along the border.  But such moves on top of the state of emergency, analysts say, would heighten calls in the U.S. Congress to cut aid to Pakistan.

1 enveloping   

v.包围，笼罩，包住( envelop的现在分词 )

参考例句：

• Always the eyes watching you and the voice enveloping you. 那眼睛总是死死盯着你，那声音总是紧紧围着你。 来自英汉文学
• The only barrier was a mosquito net, enveloping the entire bed. 唯一的障碍是那顶蚊帐罩住整个床。 来自辞典例句

2 insistence   

n.坚持；强调；坚决主张

参考例句：

• They were united in their insistence that she should go to college.他们一致坚持她应上大学。
• His insistence upon strict obedience is correct.他坚持绝对服从是对的。

3 broker   

n.中间人，经纪人；v.作为中间人来安排

参考例句：

• He baited the broker by promises of higher commissions.他答应给更高的佣金来引诱那位经纪人。
• I'm a real estate broker.我是不动产经纪人。

4 alleged   

a.被指控的，嫌疑的

参考例句：

• It was alleged that he had taken bribes while in office. 他被指称在任时收受贿赂。
• alleged irregularities in the election campaign 被指称竞选运动中的不正当行为

5 judicial   

adj.司法的，法庭的，审判的，明断的，公正的

参考例句：

• He is a man with a judicial mind.他是个公正的人。
• Tom takes judicial proceedings against his father.汤姆对他的父亲正式提出诉讼。

6 opposition   

n.反对，敌对

参考例句：

• The party leader is facing opposition in his own backyard.该党领袖在自己的党內遇到了反对。
• The police tried to break down the prisoner's opposition.警察设法制住了那个囚犯的反抗。

7 activists   

n.（政治活动的）积极分子，活动家( activist的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• His research work was attacked by animal rights activists . 他的研究受到了动物权益维护者的抨击。
• Party activists with lower middle class pedigrees are numerous. 党的激进分子中有很多出身于中产阶级下层。 来自《简明英汉词典》

8 ousted   

驱逐( oust的过去式和过去分词 )； 革职； 罢黜； 剥夺

参考例句：

• He was ousted as chairman. 他的主席职务被革除了。
• He may be ousted by a military takeover. 他可能在一场军事接管中被赶下台。

9 supreme   

adj.极度的，最重要的；至高的，最高的

参考例句：

• It was the supreme moment in his life.那是他一生中最重要的时刻。
• He handed up the indictment to the supreme court.他把起诉书送交最高法院。

10 militants   

激进分子，好斗分子( militant的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• The militants have been sporadically fighting the government for years. 几年来，反叛分子一直对政府实施零星的战斗。
• Despite the onslaught, Palestinian militants managed to fire off rockets. 尽管如此，巴勒斯坦的激进分子仍然发射导弹。

11 inflated   

adj.（价格）飞涨的；（通货）膨胀的；言过其实的；充了气的v.使充气（于轮胎、气球等）( inflate的过去式和过去分词 )；（使）膨胀；（使）通货膨胀；物价上涨

参考例句：

• He has an inflated sense of his own importance. 他自视过高。
• They all seem to take an inflated view of their collective identity. 他们对自己的集体身份似乎都持有一种夸大的看法。 来自《简明英汉词典》

12 noted   

adj.著名的，知名的

参考例句：

• The local hotel is noted for its good table.当地的那家酒店以餐食精美而著称。
• Jim is noted for arriving late for work.吉姆上班迟到出了名。

13 forth   

adv.向前；向外，往外

参考例句：

• The wind moved the trees gently back and forth.风吹得树轻轻地来回摇晃。
• He gave forth a series of works in rapid succession.他很快连续发表了一系列的作品。

14 civilian   

adj.平民的，民用的，民众的

参考例句：

• There is no reliable information about civilian casualties.关于平民的伤亡还没有确凿的信息。
• He resigned his commission to take up a civilian job.他辞去军职而从事平民工作。

15 coup   

n.政变；突然而成功的行动

参考例句：

• The monarch was ousted by a military coup.那君主被军事政变者废黜了。
• That government was overthrown in a military coup three years ago.那个政府在3年前的军事政变中被推翻。

16 elite   

n.精英阶层；实力集团；adj.杰出的，卓越的

参考例句：

• The power elite inside the government is controlling foreign policy.政府内部的一群握有实权的精英控制着对外政策。
• We have a political elite in this country.我们国家有一群政治精英。

17 blatant   

adj.厚颜无耻的；显眼的；炫耀的

参考例句：

• I cannot believe that so blatant a comedy can hoodwink anybody.我无法相信这么显眼的一出喜剧能够欺骗谁。
• His treatment of his secretary was a blatant example of managerial arrogance.他管理的傲慢作风在他对待秘书的态度上表露无遗。

18 analyst   

n.分析家，化验员；心理分析学家

参考例句：

• What can you contribute to the position of a market analyst?你有什么技能可有助于市场分析员的职务？
• The analyst is required to interpolate values between standards.分析人员需要在这些标准中插入一些值。

19 analysts   

分析家，化验员( analyst的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• City analysts forecast huge profits this year. 伦敦金融分析家预测今年的利润非常丰厚。
• I was impressed by the high calibre of the researchers and analysts. 研究人员和分析人员的高素质给我留下了深刻印象。

20 loyalty   

n.忠诚，忠心

参考例句：

• She told him the truth from a sense of loyalty.她告诉他真相是出于忠诚。
• His loyalty to his friends was never in doubt.他对朋友的一片忠心从来没受到怀疑。

21 coalition   

n.结合体，同盟，结合，联合

参考例句：

• The several parties formed a coalition.这几个政党组成了政治联盟。
• Coalition forces take great care to avoid civilian casualties.联盟军队竭尽全力避免造成平民伤亡。

22 havens   

n.港口，安全地方( haven的名词复数 )v.港口，安全地方( haven的第三人称单数 )

参考例句：

• Your twenty havens would back out at the last minute anyhow. 你那二十个避难所到了最后一分钟也要不认帐。 来自辞典例句
• Using offshore havens to avoid taxes and investor protections. 使用海面的港口避免税和投资者保护。 来自互联网

23 tribal   

adj.部族的，种族的

参考例句：

• He became skilled in several tribal lingoes.他精通几种部族的语言。
• The country was torn apart by fierce tribal hostilities.那个国家被部落间的激烈冲突弄得四分五裂。

24 pervasive   

adj.普遍的；遍布的，(到处)弥漫的；渗透性的

参考例句：

• It is the most pervasive compound on earth.它是地球上最普遍的化合物。
• The adverse health effects of car exhaust are pervasive and difficult to measure.汽车尾气对人类健康所构成的有害影响是普遍的，并且难以估算。

25 ambivalence   

n.矛盾心理

参考例句：

• She viewed her daughter's education with ambivalence.她看待女儿的教育问题态度矛盾。
• She felt a certain ambivalence towards him.她对他的态度有些矛盾。

26 relevance   

n.中肯，适当，关联，相关性

参考例句：

• Politicians' private lives have no relevance to their public roles.政治家的私生活与他们的公众角色不相关。
• Her ideas have lost all relevance to the modern world.她的想法与现代社会完全脱节。

27 revert   

v.恢复，复归，回到

参考例句：

• Let us revert to the earlier part of the chapter.让我们回到本章的前面部分。
• Shall we revert to the matter we talked about yesterday?我们接着昨天谈过的问题谈，好吗？