十月仍有可能加息但可能性不大

October Rate Hike Still a Possibility but Not Likely 十月仍有可能加息但可能性不大

The focus in financial markets will be on the U.S. central bank when members of the Federal Open Market Committee meet for two days this week (October 27-28) - to determine if the U.S. economy is healthy enough to raise interest rates.  Interest rates have been at record lows since the global financial crisis of 2008.  But analysts¹ say despite the improving health of the U.S. economy, it remains² vulnerable to the downside risks from external forces, particularly slowing growth in China.  

Beijing's official figures suggests China’s economy is growing at close to seven percent – but very few people actually believe that.  Richard Hunter is head of equities³ at London investment firm Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Indeed some of the companies who do business in China are tending to suggest that the growth rate may be nearer half that sort of figure," said Hunter.

That uncertainty⁴ is partly responsible for renewed concerns about the impact of slowing Chinese demand on the U.S. economy.  Despite a much improved job market, a high dollar exchange and low inflation makes the U.S. more vulnerable to external risks, says Federal Reserve governor Lael Brainard who spoke⁵ recently to the National Association for Business Economics.

“Given the downside risks, we would be wise to continue to carefully nurture⁶ the U.S. recovery.  And we should be cautious in prematurely⁷ taking away the support that has been so critical to its vitality," said Brainard.

The Fed has not ruled out a modest rate hike this year, but N.A.B.E. president Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly says the U.S. central bank may have added to the uncertainty by going beyond its domestic goals of full employment and stable prices.

“They [the fed] added sort of a third element which was the international element and I think that the markets had a lot of difficulty digesting that.  And there’s a concept of ambiguity⁸ that I think the Fed may have introduced into the market unintentionally," said Emsbo-Mattingly.

Some analysts say an October rate hike remains a long shot - leaving the door open for the Fed's next meeting in December.  But in an inter-connected global economy, experts say much will depend on the stability of emerging markets - even for the world's largest economy.

1 analysts   

分析家，化验员( analyst的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• City analysts forecast huge profits this year. 伦敦金融分析家预测今年的利润非常丰厚。
• I was impressed by the high calibre of the researchers and analysts. 研究人员和分析人员的高素质给我留下了深刻印象。

2 remains   

n.剩余物，残留物；遗体，遗迹

参考例句：

• He ate the remains of food hungrily.他狼吞虎咽地吃剩余的食物。
• The remains of the meal were fed to the dog.残羹剩饭喂狗了。

3 equities   

普通股，股票

参考例句：

• These are invested mainly in the OECD bonds and equities. 这些资产主要投资于经济合作及发展组织的债券与股票市场。
• They are also advantage of the global rebound in equities. 它们还在利用全球股市反弹的机会。

4 uncertainty   

n.易变，靠不住，不确知，不确定的事物

参考例句：

• Her comments will add to the uncertainty of the situation.她的批评将会使局势更加不稳定。
• After six weeks of uncertainty,the strain was beginning to take its toll.6个星期的忐忑不安后，压力开始产生影响了。

5 spoke   

n.（车轮的）辐条；轮辐；破坏某人的计划；阻挠某人的行动 v.讲，谈（speak的过去式）；说；演说；从某种观点来说

参考例句：

• They sourced the spoke nuts from our company.他们的轮辐螺帽是从我们公司获得的。
• The spokes of a wheel are the bars that connect the outer ring to the centre.辐条是轮子上连接外圈与中心的条棒。

6 nurture   

n.养育，照顾，教育；滋养，营养品；vt.养育，给与营养物，教养，扶持

参考例句：

• The tree grows well in his nurture.在他的培育下这棵树长得很好。
• The two sisters had received very different nurture.这俩个姊妹接受过极不同的教育。

7 prematurely   

adv.过早地，贸然地

参考例句：

• She was born prematurely with poorly developed lungs. 她早产，肺部未发育健全。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• His hair was prematurely white, but his busy eyebrows were still jet-black. 他的头发已经白了，不过两道浓眉还是乌黑乌黑的。 来自辞典例句

8 ambiguity   

n.模棱两可；意义不明确

参考例句：

• The telegram was misunderstood because of its ambiguity.由于电文意义不明确而造成了误解。
• Her answer was above all ambiguity.她的回答毫不含糊。