访谈录 2010-09-10&09-12 朝鲜为政权交接铺路？

In the secretive world of North Korean politics, it doesn't get much bigger than this, a rare meeting of the Workers' Party. And the expectation is it could set the scene for a handover of power from Kim Jong Il to his third and youngest son.
He may not be unveiled as Kim Jong Il's successor. That may come later, but if he does, for example, become a member of the Central Committee, then we know things are in process.
Little is known about Kim Jong Un. This, a rare photo of him as a teenager. He is now in his late 20s.
Equally unclear is whether the entrenched¹ apparatus² in the North Korean ruling party, in the North Korean military, particularly veterans in their sixties, and seventies and so on will accept somebody who is not even thirty as the new leader.
Kim Jong Il served a twenty-year of apprenticeship³ at his father's side, but with the dear leader now 68 and in poor health after suffering a stroke, analysts⁴ believe succession plans have been accelerated.
If he can give his son a few years to consolidate⁵ his power, build the network of relationships within the security apparatus, the military, the party, that will augur⁶ well for a smooth succession. If he dies sooner than that there will be much more uncertainty⁷.
Kim's most recent trip to China may have been partly to build support for his young son. Without Beijing the regime in Pyongyang will most likely collapse⁸.
If China can sort of help keep North Korea afloat, then it makes it easier for the new regime to pursue status quo policies.
But for the US, South Korea and Japan, the status quo is the problem, and analysts say there is little indication that North Korea ruled by a younger Kim would open up and end its illicit⁹ nuclear and missile programs.
John Vause, CNN in Beijing.

1 entrenched   

adj.确立的，不容易改的(风俗习惯)

参考例句：

• Television seems to be firmly entrenched as the number one medium for national advertising.电视看来要在全国广告媒介中牢固地占据头等位置。
• If the enemy dares to attack us in these entrenched positions,we will make short work of them.如果敌人胆敢进攻我们固守的阵地，我们就消灭他们。

2 apparatus   

n.装置，器械；器具，设备

参考例句：

• The school's audio apparatus includes films and records.学校的视听设备包括放映机和录音机。
• They had a very refined apparatus.他们有一套非常精良的设备。

3 apprenticeship   

n.学徒身份；学徒期

参考例句：

• She was in the second year of her apprenticeship as a carpenter. 她当木工学徒已是第二年了。
• He served his apprenticeship with Bob. 他跟鲍勃当学徒。

4 analysts   

分析家，化验员( analyst的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• City analysts forecast huge profits this year. 伦敦金融分析家预测今年的利润非常丰厚。
• I was impressed by the high calibre of the researchers and analysts. 研究人员和分析人员的高素质给我留下了深刻印象。

5 consolidate   

v.使加固，使加强；(把...)联为一体，合并

参考例句：

• The two banks will consolidate in July next year. 这两家银行明年7月将合并。
• The government hoped to consolidate ten states to form three new ones.政府希望把十个州合并成三个新的州。

6 augur   

n.占卦师；v.占卦

参考例句：

• Does this news augur war?这消息预示将有战争吗？
• The signs augur well for tomorrow's weather.种种征候预示明天天气良好。

7 uncertainty   

n.易变，靠不住，不确知，不确定的事物

参考例句：

• Her comments will add to the uncertainty of the situation.她的批评将会使局势更加不稳定。
• After six weeks of uncertainty,the strain was beginning to take its toll.6个星期的忐忑不安后，压力开始产生影响了。

8 collapse   

vi.累倒；昏倒；倒塌；塌陷

参考例句：

• The country's economy is on the verge of collapse.国家的经济已到了崩溃的边缘。
• The engineer made a complete diagnosis of the bridge's collapse.工程师对桥的倒塌做了一次彻底的调查分析。

9 illicit   

adj.非法的，禁止的，不正当的

参考例句：

• He had an illicit association with Jane.他和简曾有过不正当关系。
• Seizures of illicit drugs have increased by 30% this year.今年违禁药品的扣押增长了30%。