IMF:全球经济增长缓慢

 The International Monetary¹ Fund, or IMF, has projected economic outlook for 2016 and 2017 at 3.2% and 3.5 % respectively.

Maurice Obstfeld is the Economic Counsellor and Director of Research Department of IMF.

"Global growth continues but at an increasingly disappointing pace that leaves the world economy more exposed to negative risks. It's been too slow for too long."

The newly released IMF World Economic Outlook outlines several causes, including a return of global asset market volatility², the loss of growth momentum³ in some advanced economies as well as continued headwinds for some emerging market economies and lower-income countries.

IMF:全球经济增长缓慢

He also warned of other risks that are of non-economic origin, citing the Syrian refugee crisis and the lingering uncertainty⁴ of the UK's referendum that will decide whether or not the country stays in the European Union.

The IMF cut Japan's growth forecast in half to 0.5 percent in 2016 and said Brazil's economy would now shrink by 3.8 percent this year in comparison to the previous forecast of a 3.5 percent contraction⁵ as it struggles through its deepest recession in decades.

Meanwhile, the United States also saw its 2016 growth forecast cut to 2.4 percent from 2.6 percent. The IMF said it anticipated an increased drag on U.S. exports from a stronger dollar, while low oil prices would keep energy investment weak.

China's forecast, meanwhile, is estimated at 6.5% this year and 6.2% in 2017, a 0.2 percentage point rise from IMF's previous forecast.

"The near-term upgrade reflects our confidence that additional measures that the Chinese leadership is putting into effect can bring growth to the 6.5% level in this year."

The latest IMF outlook believes a strong domestic consumption and a robust⁶ service sector⁷ in China will offset⁸ a manufacturing downturn. And the country's complex structural⁹ transition will eventually benefit both China and the world.

Xiaohong, CRI, Washington DC.

1 monetary   

adj.货币的，钱的；通货的；金融的；财政的

参考例句：

• The monetary system of some countries used to be based on gold.过去有些国家的货币制度是金本位制的。
• Education in the wilderness is not a matter of monetary means.荒凉地区的教育不是钱财问题。

2 volatility   

n.挥发性，挥发度，轻快，（性格）反复无常

参考例句：

• That was one reason why volatility was so low last year.这也是去年波动性如此低的原因之一。
• Yet because volatility remained low for so long,disaster myopia prevailed.然而，由于相当长的时间里波动性小，灾难短视就获胜了。

3 momentum   

n.动力，冲力，势头；动量

参考例句：

• We exploit the energy and momentum conservation laws in this way.我们就是这样利用能量和动量守恒定律的。
• The law of momentum conservation could supplant Newton's third law.动量守恒定律可以取代牛顿第三定律。

4 uncertainty   

n.易变，靠不住，不确知，不确定的事物

参考例句：

• Her comments will add to the uncertainty of the situation.她的批评将会使局势更加不稳定。
• After six weeks of uncertainty,the strain was beginning to take its toll.6个星期的忐忑不安后，压力开始产生影响了。

5 contraction   

n.缩略词，缩写式，害病

参考例句：

• The contraction of this muscle raises the lower arm.肌肉的收缩使前臂抬起。
• The forces of expansion are balanced by forces of contraction.扩张力和收缩力相互平衡。

6 robust   

adj.强壮的，强健的，粗野的，需要体力的，浓的

参考例句：

• She is too tall and robust.她个子太高，身体太壮。
• China wants to keep growth robust to reduce poverty and avoid job losses,AP commented.美联社评论道，中国希望保持经济强势增长，以减少贫困和失业状况。

7 sector   

n.部门，部分；防御地段，防区；扇形

参考例句：

• The export sector will aid the economic recovery. 出口产业将促进经济复苏。
• The enemy have attacked the British sector.敌人已进攻英国防区。

8 offset   

n.分支，补偿；v.抵消，补偿

参考例句：

• Their wage increases would be offset by higher prices.他们增加的工资会被物价上涨所抵消。
• He put up his prices to offset the increased cost of materials.他提高了售价以补偿材料成本的增加。

9 structural   

adj.构造的，组织的，建筑（用）的

参考例句：

• The storm caused no structural damage.风暴没有造成建筑结构方面的破坏。
• The North American continent is made up of three great structural entities.北美大陆是由三个构造单元组成的。