为什么中国可能会在南中国海问题上与美国摊牌

 　　LAST JULY AN international tribunal made a landmark¹ ruling against China over their historical claim to territory in the South China Sea. The world’s most populous² nation claims sovereignty over the majority of the region east of Vietnam north of Malaysia and west of the Philippines. Within this territory is the island of Taiwan as well as areas of sea claimed by China’s closest neighbours.

　　去年七月一个国际法庭做了个里程碑式的裁决，反对中国在南中国海对其领土的历史主张。世界上人口最多的国家对越南东边、马来西亚北边及菲律宾西边的大部分地区声称拥有主权。这片地区里包括台湾岛，以及同样被中国的近邻们声称拥有主权的海域。

　　No fan of trump³ but this is a scaremongering piece to suggest that Trump will cause a conflict over the South China Sea territory. The US under Obama has already moved massive naval⁴ assets into this sphere of the globe and he admonished⁵ Beijing a number of times in regards to this issue. In August under the Obama regime three b1 bombers⁶ were sent over the area as a show of strength these planes are capable of carrying a nuclear payload. It’s a much more complicated mess then suggesting it’s limited to the US backing Taiwan or the one china question. Japan the Philippines Korea both north and south all have claims on the territory which is currently in international waters. There have already been many clashes with Chinease naval forces in the area much more serious than the one with the Indian naval vessel⁷ over the disputed territory. Trump may be a nut but this has been brewing⁸ for many years and if you are going to do a piece on this powder keg do a balanced and fair one covering all the nations and theirclaims rather than a puff⁹ piece to scare people about trump you also forgot to mention the landing strips that have been built on the reefs or the the Sam missiles the Chinease have moved there already or the fact they seized the us naval drone in December

　　称不上特朗普的粉丝但这确属一篇危言耸听的言论，意味着特朗普将引发在中国南海领土上的冲突。奥巴马时期美国已经大规模将海军力量布置进入这个区域，并就此问题多次告诫北京。在8月，奥巴马政府将三架B1轰炸机派到此区域，以强力显示这些飞机携带核弹头的能力。这引发了更复杂的混乱，并暗示着美国将有限的支持台湾或者改变一个中国的原则。日本、菲律宾、韩国、朝鲜都宣称目前在国际水域，在该地区已经发生许多与中国海军的冲突，比与印度海军舰艇在有争议的领土发生的纠纷还要严重。特朗普很可能面临难以解决的问题，但这已酝酿多年。假如你想在这个火药桶上做一点平衡或者做一个让所有的国家以及他们言论因为认可的公正的观点，而不仅是做一些唬人的吹吹捧文章，更别提建立在珊瑚礁上的机场跑道和中国已经搬到那里的“萨姆”导弹以及他们在12月捕获的美国海军无人探测设备。

　　美国摊牌.png

　　It came to war this is a war that the U.S. could not win. It would cost them an absolute fortune given the logistics and their production capabilities¹⁰ are nowhere near what China’s are now. China is a juggernaut of heavy industry.

　　如果开战，这是一场美国无法获胜的战争。考虑到后勤和生产能力根本不及中国，这势必让他们付出巨大的代价。在重工业方面中国是龙头老大。

　　@Phil Magee: Hi Phil The US armed forces vastly outnumber both China and Russia when it comes to arms several times over. The US has a massive army. No comparison. Under Obama the US had a weak commander but not now. Trump will not be pushed around by Chinese threats

　　@Phil Magee: 嗨，Phil 美军的武力装备比中国和俄罗斯都多出很多，都可以装备他们好几回了。美国有一支庞大的军队。无人能比。在奥巴马时期美国有一个懦弱的司令官，但是现在不一样了，川普不会被中国的威胁所左右的。

　　@Burke John: I’m not sure you understand the scale here. Sure Americas military might is greater but they would not be able to pit all their might against China. Remember when China shot down the spy plane? G.W.Bush who went to war because his daddy went to war demanded the plane back he got it back or at least the shell of it 6 weeks later. China does not fear America they may not be as powerful but are powerful enough to face them down.

　　@Burke John：我不知道你怎么理解这里说的规模。是的美国的军事力量可能更强大，但他们不能动用所有的力量对付中国。记得中国击落了间谍飞机那事吗？ 小布什要求把飞机要回来（小布什开战是因为他爹开战），他6周后拿回了它，或至少拿回了它的壳。中国不怕美国，他们可能没有那么强大，但有足够的力量面对对手。

1 landmark   

n.陆标，划时代的事，地界标

参考例句：

• The Russian Revolution represents a landmark in world history.俄国革命是世界历史上的一个里程碑。
• The tower was once a landmark for ships.这座塔曾是船只的陆标。

2 populous   

adj.人口稠密的，人口众多的

参考例句：

• London is the most populous area of Britain.伦敦是英国人口最稠密的地区。
• China is the most populous developing country in the world.中国是世界上人口最多的发展中国家。

3 trump   

n.王牌，法宝；v.打出王牌，吹喇叭

参考例句：

• He was never able to trump up the courage to have a showdown.他始终鼓不起勇气摊牌。
• The coach saved his star player for a trump card.教练保留他的明星选手，作为他的王牌。

4 naval   

adj.海军的，军舰的，船的

参考例句：

• He took part in a great naval battle.他参加了一次大海战。
• The harbour is an important naval base.该港是一个重要的海军基地。

5 admonished   

v.劝告( admonish的过去式和过去分词 )；训诫；（温和地）责备；轻责

参考例句：

• She was admonished for chewing gum in class. 她在课堂上嚼口香糖，受到了告诫。
• The teacher admonished the child for coming late to school. 那个孩子迟到，老师批评了他。 来自《简明英汉词典》

6 bombers   

n.轰炸机( bomber的名词复数 )；投弹手；安非他明胶囊；大麻叶香烟

参考例句：

• Enemy bombers carried out a blitz on the city. 敌军轰炸机对这座城市进行了突袭。 来自《简明英汉词典》
• The Royal Airforce sill remained dangerously short of bombers. 英国皇家空军仍未脱离极为缺乏轰炸机的危境。 来自《简明英汉词典》

7 vessel   

n.船舶；容器，器皿；管，导管，血管

参考例句：

• The vessel is fully loaded with cargo for Shanghai.这艘船满载货物驶往上海。
• You should put the water into a vessel.你应该把水装入容器中。

8 brewing   

n. 酿造, 一次酿造的量 动词brew的现在分词形式

参考例句：

• It was obvious that a big storm was brewing up. 很显然，一场暴风雨正在酝酿中。
• She set about brewing some herb tea. 她动手泡一些药茶。

9 puff   

n.一口(气)；一阵(风)；v.喷气，喘气

参考例句：

• He took a puff at his cigarette.他吸了一口香烟。
• They tried their best to puff the book they published.他们尽力吹捧他们出版的书。

10 capabilities   

n.能力( capability的名词复数 )；可能；容量；[复数]潜在能力

参考例句：

• He was somewhat pompous and had a high opinion of his own capabilities. 他有点自大，自视甚高。 来自辞典例句
• Some programmers use tabs to break complex product capabilities into smaller chunks. 一些程序员认为，标签可以将复杂的功能分为每个窗格一组简单的功能。 来自About Face 3交互设计精髓